The Australian Department of Climate Change and Energy Efficiency releases official projections of its greenhouse gas emissions annually. The previous projections were released in early 2011 (referred to as the 2010 projections). Since the release of the 2010 projections, the Department of the Treasury released modelling in mid-2011, entitled Strong Growth Low Pollution (SGLP), which includes projections of Australia’s emissions to 2050.3

The 2012 projections provide a full update of Australia’s emissions projections including:

• an estimate of average emissions for the Kyoto Protocol first commitment period (2008–12);
• a projection to 2020, which provides the basis for estimating the ‘abatement challenge’ Australia faces in meeting its 2020 targets;
• and an indicative projection of Australia’s emissions to 2030.

The projections are developed and presented at a sectoral level, encompassing domestic emissions from stationary energy (including electricity generation and direct combustion), transport, fugitive emissions from fuel production, industrial processes, agriculture, waste and deforestation and reforestation.

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