Tag Archives: climate change modelling

Australia’s Emissions Projections 2012

The Australian Department of Climate Change and Energy Efficiency releases official projections of its greenhouse gas emissions annually. The previous projections were released in early 2011 (referred to as the 2010 projections). Since the release of the 2010 projections, the Department of the Treasury released modelling in mid-2011, entitled Strong Growth Low Pollution (SGLP), which includes projections of Australia’s emissions to 2050.3

The 2012 projections provide a full update of Australia’s emissions projections including:

  • an estimate of average emissions for the Kyoto Protocol first commitment period (2008–12);
  • a projection to 2020, which provides the basis for estimating the ‘abatement challenge’ Australia faces in meeting its 2020 targets;
  • and an indicative projection of Australia’s emissions to 2030.

The projections are developed and presented at a sectoral level, encompassing domestic emissions from stationary energy (including electricity generation and direct combustion), transport, fugitive emissions from fuel production, industrial processes, agriculture, waste and deforestation and reforestation.

Click here to view the full article.

 

Greenhouse gas emissions from the agriculture sector

This report provides updated projections of key agricultural activity levels which when applied to the Department of Climate Change and Energy Efficiency (DCCEE) emissions spreadsheets give projections of agricultural greenhouse gas emissions in each year from 2009 to 2030.

It provides an update to previous projection rounds taken by the Centre for International Economics (CIE) for the then Australian Greenhouse Office (AGO) and DCCEE in 2003, 2005, 2007 and 2008. Like previous rounds, this report uses three economic models of Australian agriculture:

  • The Global Meat Industries (GMI) model;
  • The CIE Grain model; and
  • The CIE Dairy model.

Click here for the full report.